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【TOP 28】Harvinder Kalirai Quotes - WhatsApp Status | Page-1

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If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed adopted a neutral bias. However, the tightening cycle continued until early '95, for a total of 300 basis points (3 percent). We are not looking for that type of tightening cycle this time, but nevertheless it does suggest that the neutral bias does not preclude further rate hikes down the road. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed adopted a neutral bias. However, the tightening cycle continued until early '95, for a total of 300 basis points (3 percent). We are not looking for that type of tightening cycle this time, but nevertheless it does suggest that the neutral bias does not preclude further rate hikes down the road.

Harvinder Kalirai

We don't think it'll be enough to halt a move at this month's FOMC meeting. We still look for the Fed go 25 basis points. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We don't think it'll be enough to halt a move at this month's FOMC meeting. We still look for the Fed go 25 basis points.

Harvinder Kalirai

We don't think it'll be enough to halt a move at this month's FOMC meeting, ... We still look for the Fed go 25 basis points. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We don't think it'll be enough to halt a move at this month's FOMC meeting, ... We still look for the Fed go 25 basis points.

Harvinder Kalirai

I consistently say the Australian dollar is heading higher. Commodities are at the start of a 15- to 20-year bull run. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

I consistently say the Australian dollar is heading higher. Commodities are at the start of a 15- to 20-year bull run.

Harvinder Kalirai

July was much stronger than expected, but when you factor in the revisions to June, there's only a 0.4 percent increase ... I think these numbers are very close to consensus forecast. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

July was much stronger than expected, but when you factor in the revisions to June, there's only a 0.4 percent increase ... I think these numbers are very close to consensus forecast.

Harvinder Kalirai

If manufacturing is recovering [from] this drag on growth, which is already strong, it is probably going to raise some concerns at the Fed. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

If manufacturing is recovering [from] this drag on growth, which is already strong, it is probably going to raise some concerns at the Fed.

Harvinder Kalirai

If the market begins to expect a more imminent end to the Fed's tightening cycle that would certainly remove the interest rate support for the dollar. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

If the market begins to expect a more imminent end to the Fed's tightening cycle that would certainly remove the interest rate support for the dollar.

Harvinder Kalirai

We think the Fed is going to tighten by the end of August. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We think the Fed is going to tighten by the end of August.

Harvinder Kalirai

It highlights the imbalances that [Federal Reserve Chairman Alan] Greenspan has talked about the last several months. If it doesn't correct on its own by, say, the Fed taking the steam out of the bubble, you could have a violent correction and a market crash, and that could be a serious risk to the economy. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

It highlights the imbalances that [Federal Reserve Chairman Alan] Greenspan has talked about the last several months. If it doesn't correct on its own by, say, the Fed taking the steam out of the bubble, you could have a violent correction and a market crash, and that could be a serious risk to the economy.

Harvinder Kalirai

If the market begins to expect a more imminent end to the Fed's tightening cycle that would certainly remove the interest rate support for the dollar, - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

If the market begins to expect a more imminent end to the Fed's tightening cycle that would certainly remove the interest rate support for the dollar,

Harvinder Kalirai

The Australian currency may rise to US80c over the next month. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

The Australian currency may rise to US80c over the next month.

Harvinder Kalirai

This is one weak number in the context of an extremely strong economy. One data point doesn't make a trend, - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

This is one weak number in the context of an extremely strong economy. One data point doesn't make a trend,

Harvinder Kalirai

Manufacturing is recovering -- and the recovery, in fact, is accelerating. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

Manufacturing is recovering -- and the recovery, in fact, is accelerating.

Harvinder Kalirai

There are a few signs of cracks beneath the surface in the U.S. economy, starting with the weak durable goods and confidence figures last week, and now with the rise in oil. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

There are a few signs of cracks beneath the surface in the U.S. economy, starting with the weak durable goods and confidence figures last week, and now with the rise in oil.

Harvinder Kalirai

We're starting to see positive signs that the Japanese business cycle may be moving around. The dollar-yen should trade lower in coming months. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We're starting to see positive signs that the Japanese business cycle may be moving around. The dollar-yen should trade lower in coming months.

Harvinder Kalirai

The commodity story remains very positive for Australia. Relative to commodities prices the Australian dollar isn't overvalued. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

The commodity story remains very positive for Australia. Relative to commodities prices the Australian dollar isn't overvalued.

Harvinder Kalirai

At these levels, the Australian dollar is looking attractive. A decline in U.S. interest-rate expectations is beneficial for Australia. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

At these levels, the Australian dollar is looking attractive. A decline in U.S. interest-rate expectations is beneficial for Australia.

Harvinder Kalirai

There are very early signs of (a manufacturing slowdown), but I don't think they're conclusive enough to halt the Fed from tightening policy further, ... But I think, ultimately, with the economy running hot and inflation on a clear upswing, we see headline inflation moving towards and perhaps even surpassing 3 percent as we head into next year. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

There are very early signs of (a manufacturing slowdown), but I don't think they're conclusive enough to halt the Fed from tightening policy further, ... But I think, ultimately, with the economy running hot and inflation on a clear upswing, we see headline inflation moving towards and perhaps even surpassing 3 percent as we head into next year.

Harvinder Kalirai

We got the spark from the PPI today, - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We got the spark from the PPI today,

Harvinder Kalirai

The Australian currency may rise to US80c over the next month, - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

The Australian currency may rise to US80c over the next month,

Harvinder Kalirai

We got the spark from the PPI today. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We got the spark from the PPI today.

Harvinder Kalirai

There are very early signs of (a manufacturing slowdown), but I don't think they're conclusive enough to halt the Fed from tightening policy further. But I think, ultimately, with the economy running hot and inflation on a clear upswing, we see headline inflation moving towards and perhaps even surpassing 3 percent as we head into next year. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

There are very early signs of (a manufacturing slowdown), but I don't think they're conclusive enough to halt the Fed from tightening policy further. But I think, ultimately, with the economy running hot and inflation on a clear upswing, we see headline inflation moving towards and perhaps even surpassing 3 percent as we head into next year.

Harvinder Kalirai

We're seeing a benign neglect in terms of the weakness of the Japanese yen. There's little reason for the Japanese to be worried because it seems the lower the yen gets the bigger the support it gives to exporters. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We're seeing a benign neglect in terms of the weakness of the Japanese yen. There's little reason for the Japanese to be worried because it seems the lower the yen gets the bigger the support it gives to exporters.

Harvinder Kalirai

With the Fed stopping, and policy elsewhere in Europe and Japan going in the opposite direction, it should be relatively positive for the euro and yen. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

With the Fed stopping, and policy elsewhere in Europe and Japan going in the opposite direction, it should be relatively positive for the euro and yen.

Harvinder Kalirai

With oil prices back near record levels, one can bet that the Brazilians are increasing ethanol production. This means less refined sugar and higher prices. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

With oil prices back near record levels, one can bet that the Brazilians are increasing ethanol production. This means less refined sugar and higher prices.

Harvinder Kalirai

High commodity prices are boosting Brazil's terms of trade and leading to record trade surpluses. A favorable external backdrop and still high real interest rates should support the Brazilian real. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

High commodity prices are boosting Brazil's terms of trade and leading to record trade surpluses. A favorable external backdrop and still high real interest rates should support the Brazilian real.

Harvinder Kalirai

The trend is still toward wider deficits, so this is a concern for the U.S. dollar. I continue to forecast it lower. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

The trend is still toward wider deficits, so this is a concern for the U.S. dollar. I continue to forecast it lower.

Harvinder Kalirai

We did expect a sharp deterioration of the trade balance. The real story on the trade numbers is that the import surge reflects very solid domestic demand. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We did expect a sharp deterioration of the trade balance. The real story on the trade numbers is that the import surge reflects very solid domestic demand.

Harvinder Kalirai

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